Ashrun savaged the line late to win the Hotham, needs only to recover to be a factor. MALLYON SAYS: Won her way into the Cup by winning the Andrew Ramsden back in May. This preparation has shown he is still capable of winning with an exceptional run in the Caulfield Cup without a lot of luck. Made good late ground when len 6th of 15 (7) $61.00 56.5 Verry Elleegant 2000m F’ton G1 Turnbull Stks Good(3) Oct 3. The winner of that qualifies for the Melbourne Cup, but it is only Listed class (Group 1 is best among the top four tiers of races, then G2, G3, and then Listed).
He’s only got half a kilo more this year, and if he can be given a better run this time by Ben Melham, he’ll be right in this. Has equally good records on dry or soft tracks, so maybe a firm Flemington surface won’t worry him as much as other visitors. Never threatened when 8-3/4 len 15th of 18 (14) $41.00 57.0 Verry Elleegant 2400m C’field G1 Caulfield Cup Soft(6) Oct 17. She’s an honest campaigner who took out the Sydney Cup over this trip seven months ago. Top trainer must be respected. Best long-distance form: Won over 2505m. I just think that come Tuesday, look out - this horse will be flying down the middle. You are able to select more than four horses, although the amount won will be less. He was beaten five lengths in last year’s Cup but looks to be in better shape this time in. Note that the exact order is necessary to win. Particularly with an eye on the extra 800m here. Just missed when lg hd 2nd of 10 (6) $3.20 56.0 Lord Belvedere 2500m F’ton Qlty Good(4) Sept 12. Beginners who have never placed a First Four bet before are advised to start with Ladbrokes.com.au as it has the easiest betting interface and the best prices! It means he’s taken the low road to qualify, whereas others have screamed in with G1 wins. T: Anthony & Sam Freedman.
Third run in 13 days the only query? Placed in the past two Cups and looks to be going better again this year. A few jumps races in the form lines but I’m not worried because Willie Mullens has had success previously following that similar path into the race with Max Dynamite, who was so close on two occasions.
GARDINER SAYS: Run last year was full of merit (11th behind Vow And Declare) and looks to have returned a far better commodity for Lloyd Williams. He’s different in that his bush trainer – based at Horsham – goes about things in more of a European style. Danny is a Hawthorn supporter and I also used to own a horse with him. Find out more about our policy and your choices, including how to opt-out. Put him on anything in a big race, and they gain 10%. MALLYON SAYS: Since winning the Sydney Cup she’s only had two other runs, The Metropolitan and the Moonee Valley Gold Cup, where she ran OK. She may just be getting to her right fitness levels now and the last horse to win the Sydney-Melbourne Cup double was the mighty mare Makybe Diva. Has a great barrier for McDonald to secure a good spot too. Finally put her next win on the board last week in the Moonee Valley Gold Cup where she powered through the line. There have been six horses who have died on Melbourne Cup day since 2013, sparking major backlash against the race. Also, Bowman was very happy to switch to Anthony Van Dyck this year. ... Where every horse ran from Twighlight Payment to last. HERE YOU GO.
That glorious day, which followed a Caulfield Cup second, seems a long time ago now though. MALLYON SAYS: Irish horse who ran a huge race last year in the Cup when narrowly beaten by Vow and Declare. Biggest win: Gp1 South Australian Derby (2500m), Strike rate: 4 Wins (44%) – 4 Placings (89%).
Want to make a difference? Recent history especially suggests that weight over the Melbourne Cup's 3200m journey is a key factor, almost regardless of how good the horse is. There have been six horses who have died on Melbourne Cup day since 2013, ... while the first four paid $38,939.50. One of the best Melbourne Cup tips for this bet is to do research on the two runners of your choice, see how they compare across different categories, and pick the one you feel would perform better. Never got close when 5-1/4 len 12th of 18 (16) $21.00 53.0 Verry Elleegant 2400m C’field G1 Caulfield Cup Soft(6) Oct 17. Still, his light weight is a big help in that department. 6. Beat half the field home when 4-1/2 len 9th of 18 (5) $61.00 58.0 Mirage Dancer 2400m R’wick G1 The Metrop Good(4) Oct 3. Tick.
And it's a bit tougher to pick the winner these days when you can't just go with whatever horse the late, great Bart Cummings has trained. Best long-distance form: 5th in 3200m Sydney Cup. A punter in NSW tipped those four horses to win with a mere $24 on a First 4 bet - and he wasn't disappointed with the outcome. Rain wouldn’t hurt, and while there are others who you know can get the trip, you wouldn’t rule him out altogether. Many punters opt to place a box First Four bet instead of single First Four bets in order to reduce the difficulty of picking up a win. Just missed when hd 2nd of 14 (2) $12.00 58.0 Santiago 2414m Ire – Curragh G1 Irish Derby Good June 27. Steel Prince didn’t win the Geelong Cup by much, however, and it wasn’t one of the better editions of the race. Barrier fair. Best long distance form: Won 3264m Henry II Stakes at Sandown, England, three starts back in June.
Another thing I'd suggest it not to put all your cash into the one race.
Strike rate: 7 Wins (23%) – 16 Placings (77%).
All he's ever wanted to do was get a Melbourne Cup winner and the year he's got three decent chances in the race, he can't even go to Flemington to watch! He’s done it tough, covering extra ground, in the past two Melbourne Cups and still come third and second. GARDINER SAYS: Got a bit of back me next time about him does the son of Frankel but equally, he always seems to run well. Best long-distance form: Three tries at 2400m, for three G1 wins. 2016: Regal Monarch died after a dramatic mid-race fall.
The lightweights always give you great value, there's always a horse down the bottom that runs well and figures in the finish. Best long-distance form: Has had four goes over 3200m, for a win and two placings in Listed class in Ireland, and an 11th in last year’s Melbourne Cup. Harrowing scenes as millions watch one of the world's top... Bloodbath on the streets of Melbourne as anti-lockdown... Meghan and Harry 'personally recognise' Remembrance Day with their own cemetery photoshoot after Prince was... 'Since when did the Lamestream Media decide who the President is?' Andreas Wohler won the Cup in 2014 with Protectionist so he knows the right horses to bring out for the big one.
GARDINER SAYS: Super run last year from a wide alley and trained to the minute to peak on the first Tuesday in November again. He’s only got 55.5kg, which isn’t bad for a 5yo stallion.
Trainer Mullins is a shrewd fellow from Ireland, but with all due respect, this is one of those European horses who’s place in the field makes local trainers’ blood boil. Only had the four career starts but stable adamant experience (or lack of) won’t get him beaten. That mean a lot of people fancied him in the Cup last year, but while he ran seventh, beaten only 1.4len, you were left wanting more, since he had a dream run in transit. Weight: 54.5kg/Age: 6yo/Jockey: TBC/Trainer: Paul Preusker. Rattled home from well back when sht nk 2nd of 18 (17) $6.00 58.5 Verry Elleegant 2400m C’field G1 Caulfield Cup Soft(6) Oct 17. Best long-distance form: Won over 2800m at this track, in lesser quality race. The barrier is a bit of a worry though. MALLYON SAYS: The Kiwi galloper must not be discounted after his cracking third in the Caulfield Cup behind Verry Elleegant and Anthony Van Dyke. First Four. The 2020 Melbourne Cup has been run and won and we take a look at the odds and dividends for the winning horse as well as the Trifecta, Quinella, First Four bets and the all important last place for Melbourne Cup sweep contestants. Exceptional, gutsy, superbly-bred mare who’s knocking on the door of champion status, having won six Group 1s. Despite the success of the day for those willing to take a chance, the death of star horse Anthony Van Dyck has caused an uproar. Call Gambling Help on 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au. Should be thereabouts again. He's a good Hawks man - I remember the night after we won the Grand Final back in 2008, Danny was best on ground at the after party! The last gelding to do the back to back cups was Think Big in 1974-75. Barrier not great. Despite only managing … Hasn’t tried 3200m since then, so he’s still a doubt at this trip, and has to lug a hefty weight over this long distance, which is always worrying. Raced wide without cover when len, nose 3rd of 15 (14) $7.50 58.0 Persan, Sound 2510m F’ton G3 Bart Cummings Good(3) Oct 3. Don't have an account? MALLYON SAYS: I loved his performance in the Hotham Handicap and he looks to be crying for the 3200m. The big problem, though, is the barrier. That Ramsden was his fifth win in a row. He's my top pick. Finche. Came right away for 8 len win of 6 (1) $1.55F 63.0 Master Of Reality, Camphor 2816m Ire – Curragh G2 Curragh Cup Dead July 18. You also wonder if the Cox Plate was his grand final, and this a bit of a hopeful secondary mission. He also has Kerrin McEvoy, who’s a superb rider and won three of these things. Confidence levels EXTREMELY low with the top four - but I've been on Surprise Baby for a while as the winner. MALLYON SAYS: Irish galloper who was afforded a beautiful ride by Glen Boss in the Cox Plate. Look at his third in that Ascot Gold Cup, when he was only a length behind the winner, the great Stradivarius, who’s Europe’s best stayer for a long time. Tick. The winner of that qualifies for the Melbourne Cup, but it is only Listed class (Group 1 is best among the top four tiers of races, then G2, G3, and then Listed). The last horse to win from barrier 20 was Empire Rose in 1988. MALLYON SAYS: A promising stayer on the rise who found himself just too far back in the Melbourne Cup last year and had to make up a massive amount of ground. So he’s rising 1200-odd metres for this, and again, until you see them do it, you’ve got to have faith. The Melbourne Cup finishing order including the Melbourne Cup First Four will be known when the race is run and won at 3:00pm (AEDT) on . Strike rate: 2 Wins (50%) – 2 Placings (100%). I have great faith that this horse has been primed for one race, and this is it.
Barrier no help. He certainly can stay so if you’re willing to forgive his run in the Caulfield Cup his form prior to that seems to be OK. Maybe he wasn’t a fan of Caulfield but it’s really hard to see him winning that performance.
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